Consensus Investor and Intertemporal Asset Pricing with Heterogeneous Beliefs

نویسندگان

  • Carl Chiarella
  • Xue-Zhong He
  • Min Zheng
چکیده

This paper considers an intertemporal capital market with an arbitrary number of heterogeneous belief investors who maximise the expected utilities of their terminal wealths under their subject beliefs. By aggregating the heterogeneous beliefs of the investors, a consensus investor is constructed to characterise the market equilibrium under the heterogeneous beliefs. Applying this idea to logarithmic utility function case, the impact of the belief heterogeneity on the market equilibrium is examined explicitly and survival conditions of the heterogeneous agents are given.

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Consensus consumer and intertemporal asset pricing with heterogeneous beliefs

The aim of the paper is to analyze the impact of heterogeneous beliefs in an otherwise standard competitive complete market economy. The construction of a consensus probability belief, as well as a consensus consumer, are shown to be valid modulo an aggregation bias, which takes the form of a discount factor. In classical cases, the consensus probability belief is a risk tolerance weighted aver...

متن کامل

Instability of Financial Markets and Preference Heterogeneity

This paper presents a simple rational expectations model of intertemporal asset pricing relating instability of stock return characteristics to heterogeneity in investor preferences. Heterogeneity is likely to generate declining aggregate relative risk aversion. This leads to variability in expected asset returns, volatility, and autocorrelation. The stronger this variability is, the more heter...

متن کامل

Strategic asset allocation with heterogeneous beliefs

We study how the presence of long term investors using di¤erent return forecasting strategies and switching them based on their past performance generates the price trends observed in …nancial markets. In the empirical section, we assume that investors choose how to allocate their portfolios among four major stock indices: Dow Jones, FTSE, Nikkei and Hang Seng. The exercise shows that a decreas...

متن کامل

A Binomial Model of Asset and Option Pricing with Heterogeneous Beliefs

This paper provides a theoretical framework for pricing assets in a multiperiod economy with heterogeneous beliefs. The stock price dynamics follow a binomial lattice structure. Agents are allowed to differ in their beliefs of the probability and asset return in each state of nature. By constructing a consensus belief, we examine the impact of heterogeneous beliefs on market equilibrium. Static...

متن کامل

Consumption-Based Asset Pricing with Recursive Utility

In this paper it has been attempted to investigate the capability of the consumption-based capital asset pricing model (CCAPM), using the general method of moment (GMM), with regard to the Epstien-zin recursive preferences model for Iran's capital market. Generally speaking, recursive utility permits disentangling of the two psychologically separate concepts of risk aversion and elasticity of i...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره   شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2009